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SEEKONK, MASSACHUSETTS, United States

Tuesday, April 9, 2024

TO MY READERS...

 Unfortunately, my recent trip has affected me physically in a way that was far 

more extensive than I first thought. The result has been an extended stay at CHARLTON

MEMORIAL HOSPITAL, (Whose care has been exemplary as usual.) So please be patient.

THANKS

DAVID.

Thursday, April 4, 2024

HOW ARE WE'RE GOING TO DEFEAT MAGA. (10 DOORS AT A TIME)

 

David,

Defeating Trump in 2020 came down to fewer than 44,000 voters in Georgia, Arizona, and Wisconsin -- not enough to fill your average football stadium. 

Control of the House in 2022? It came down to 7,000 votes in five districts.

And despite the fact that Trump tried to violently overthrow the government, was found legally liable for sexual abuse, faces 91 criminal charges, and is promising a second term defined by autocracy and vengeance, the 2024 election also promises to be stomach-churningly close. 

When elections are this close, every vote matters. And guess what? We’ve developed a tool that independent analysis suggests is more effective at turning out voters than any other GOTV tactic out there. 

We know a lot of folks scan these emails quickly, so let’s pull that out and repeat it: 

📣

We’ve developed a GOTV tool right here at Indivisible that appears to be the most effective form of direct voter contact in existence.

It’s called Neighbor2Neighbor (N2N). We believe it’ll be an absolute game changer in some of the closest House, Senate, and presidential battlegrounds, and we need your help to start deploying it where it’s most needed. 



What is Neighbor2Neighbor?

Neighbor2Neighbor relies on a lot of data, behavioral science research, engineering, and field testing, but the beauty is really its simplicity: 

  1. A volunteer signs up on a simple web page. 
  2. They are given a script and assigned ten doors of target voters in their neighborhood 
  3. They knock the doors on their own time and have 1:1 conversations about the stakes of the election 

That’s it. 

No seriously, that’s it. There’s no app to download. No account setup required. We help activists find neighbors who share their values but might not vote every election, and they have a pleasant conversation. And if they want ten more doors, they can sign up for ten more doors. 

Why it works (it’s better for volunteers)

Traditional canvassing gives volunteers a long list of strangers. Neighbor2Neighbor gives volunteers a short list of neighbors. This simple inversion makes our program TWICE as effective. 

How is that possible? Well, if you’ve ever done a traditional canvassing shift, you know it often involves driving a long distance, spending hours walking unfamiliar streets, and knocking on the doors of a lot of people who aren’t home. Conversely, with Neighbor2Neighbor: 

  • Volunteers are able to reach every assigned door because they can circle back on their own time. 
  • Volunteers are asked to talk to people who share a baseline commonality: their neighborhood. This makes the voter contact a LOT less awkward and a lot more conversational. Also, we only give doors of folks who are likely to be politically aligned. 
  • The simple, app-free user experience for volunteers lowers the barrier to entry. People have hectic lives and have a hard time doing a four-hour canvassing shift. N2N volunteers can do a few minutes a day without having to conquer new technology or remember database logins. 

So this program is great for volunteers. How great? Here’s a testimonial from a NY-03 group leader who used N2N earlier this year to help flip George Santos’s seat blue: 

“N2N is by far the best and most effective canvassing experience any of our volunteers have had. It’s also such a reasonable ask for anyone with a life.”

Why it works (it’s better for getting through to voters)

If you’re following politics closely, you’re probably hearing a lot about the so-called “double haters” who’ll decide this election. They’re people who aren’t super excited about either candidate, are largely disaffected with politics in general at the moment, and are distrustful of the media (they aren’t alone: trust in corporate media is at an all-time low). A lot of them actually share our values broadly but aren’t paying super close attention to what Biden has done or what’s at stake in November.  

The diffusion of media (people cutting the cable and opting for streaming) has already made it difficult for campaigns to reach voters through traditional means. The double hater issue means that even if campaigns get through to voters, a lot of them won’t be receptive to the message. 

But people are receptive to outreach from people they know or have personal connections with. Study after study has shown the persuasive power of these 1:1 conversations to break through where other tactics can’t. 

Not only does this program capitalize on community ties between neighbors, but it also offers a new way for progressives to forge personal relationships in their communities. Some folks withdraw from political involvement when they feel isolated. Early volunteers have recounted how they -- and the people they speak with -- are often surprised by just how many like-minded, pro-democracy people they have in their orbit. That’s good for this election -- and it will pay dividends in future organizing.

Just how well does it work? 

Sorry to repeat ourselves here, but we’re darn proud of this: An independent study of our pilot program in 15 congressional races found Neighbor2Neighbor to be twice as effective as traditional canvassing, and more effective than TV ads, yard signs, phonebanking, or any other tactic tested. 

The analysis showed it has a 1.1% effect on voter turnout. That might seem like a tiny number, but here are some *actual* tiny numbers for comparison: 

The 2020 margin in Arizona? .3%

The 2020 margin in Georgia? .2%

The 2020 margin in Wisconsin? .6%

So, for the nerds who really study this stuff, a 1.1% increase is HUGE. But, ultimately, how many votes that translates to will depend on how big we can scale this thing. 


When can I get to work? 

Hopefully, we’ve gotten you excited enough about this tool that you: 

  • Are thinking about making a donation
  • Are wondering: Can I start knocking doors already?!?!

More good news: We’re just days away from launching pre-registration in presidential and Senate battlegrounds, target districts, and states with abortion measures on the ballot. By this time next week, you’ll know if we’re activating N2N in your area and how to get involved. 

But whether you live in a red, blue, purple, or non-state (hi DC Indivisibles), we’re going to have loads of ways for you to make a difference this election -- phonebanks, postcards, vote tripling textbanks, and more.

News about all that is coming on Tuesday. But right nowwe need your help to get all this funded. Progressive organizations aren’t sitting on huge reserves heading into this election -- what we raise now will determine how much we’ll be able to do to secure every vote we need to win back the House, keep the Senate, and defeat Trump. 

Chip in, if you can, to fund our revolutionary Neighbor2Neighbor tool and reach the voters we need in every crucial battleground >>

Thanks for everything you do to bring us closer to victory. 

In solidarity,
Indivisible Team

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Paid for by Indivisible Action (indivisible.org). Not authorized by any candidate or candidate's committee.

Indivisible Action is a Hybrid Political Action Committee fueled by the grassroots movement to win elections and build local, independent progressive power nationwide. Read more about the formation of our PAC here.

Grassroots donations, not foundations or large gifts, are our single largest source of funding. That means we’re accountable to, and fueled by, Indivisibles on the ground. Chip in $7 or whatever you can to keep fueling our movement. 

Chip in >>

To give by mail, send a check to Indivisible Action, PO Box 43135, Washington, DC 20010.

Contributions to Indivisible Action are not tax-deductible.

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THE YEAR: 2100. THE PLACE: HISTORY CLASS. THE SUBJECT: EARLY TWENTY-FIRST CENTURY POLITICS. PART 2.

  NOW CLASS, YOU HAVE BEEN TESTED REGARDING THE PRESIDENTIAL RESULTS FROM 

2008-2020. BEFORE WE GO THROUGH THE RESULTS, I WOULD LIKE YOU TO ANALYZE 

THE ELECTION RESULTS FOR THE U.S. SENATE DURING THAT SAME PERIOD. FOR EXTRA 

CREDIT, WRITE AN ESSAY IDENTIFYING ANY RESULTS THAT MIGHT INDICATE ELECTION 

FRAUD, AND IF SO, HOW THEY MIGHT COINCIDE WITH PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION FRAUD 

FROM THE SAME ERA.

THE INFORMATION BELOW, TOGETHER WITH THE DATA FROM THE QUIZ ON  PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS FROM THE SAME TIME PERIOD, YOU WILL USE TO ARGUE AND JUSTIFY ANY CONCLUSIONS THAT YOU MAKE. 

COLUMN 1- WHICH PARTY RECEIVED THE HIGHEST % OF THE POPULAR VOTE FOR ALL SENATE ELECTIONS HELD THAT YEAR.

COLUMN 2- # OF SENATE SEATS CONTESTED.

COLUMN 3- THE # OF SEATS WON BY THE PARTY WITH THE HIGHEST % OF THE NATIONAL VOTE, AND WHAT % THAT NUMBER REPRESENTS OF THE TOTAL # OF SEATS CONTESTED.

THE STATS BELOW ARE TAKEN FROM WIKIPEDIA, AND MAY NOT BE THE OFFICIAL NUMBERS. THEY SHOULD BE VIEWED AS A GUIDE. 

1. 2018 DEM- 58.2%               33                  22, 66.7%  

2. 2012 DEM- 53.4%               31                  23, 74.2%                               

3. 2016 DEM- 53.0%               34                  12, 35.3%                        

4. 2008 DEM- 51.9%               35                   20, 57.1%                                          

5. 2014 REP-  51.5%               36                   24, 66.7%                   

6. 2020 REP- 49.3%                35                   20, 57.1%    

7. 2010 REP- 48.2%                37                   24, 64.9% 


Tuesday, April 2, 2024

I OFFERED A SHORT ANSWER TO THE FOLLOWING QUESTION BY QUORA: How does the US define a 'refugee'?

 This answer is for general knowledge and is not a complete and comprehensive definition.

A REFUGEE, by definition, is an Individual who seeks to move or live in another Country or Jurisdiction, because of Traumatic, Destructive, or Inhumane conditions that exist in their current place of Residence, be it a Region or Country.

A Refugee- Seeks Sanctuary or Asylum to alleviate the suffering that specific living conditions in their current place of habitation or residence are causing them.

Refugee status, if allowed, does not grant Individual Citizenship. It is generally a HUMANITARIAN GESTURE TO AID THOSE LIVING IN INTOLERABLE CONDITIONS, TO BE ALLOWED SANCTUARY UNTIL THE CONDITIONS THAT CAUSED THEIR CHOOSING TO LEAVE ARE ALLEVIATED OR ENDED.

The cause(s) for seeking Refugee or Asylum status could be events such as Change of Government, War or Domestic Strife, Natural Disasters, Famine, or Pestilence.

Can a Refugee become a Resident or Legal Immigrant? Yes, but that is a different process, and is not automatic. A different set of Rules and Standards apply.